@mcint Looks like no one did so before market close? Resolves No?

It's unclear what you're asking but it seems you mean the reasons to select a month for a market. It that case the market will have positive or negative convexity, like if something becomes "more likely" over time the value will increase by month. It's not complicated.

Where some markets are multiple choice, that would clearly be broken if the multiple choice options are successive expiry times, or average cutoff.

I want a way of making bets about time, probably even log scale, that is easy to set up, and yields good results. Metaculus has interesting looking ways of distributing probability over time.

I'm a little bored or frustrated with the idea of making a sequence of binary markets for successive dates, but maybe I should get over this, because it's good enough for now.

@mcint obviously metaculus does things correctly, there is no way to do that here