From the rental agreement

Term:
A fixed term of 12 months

Commencing on and including Sunday, 26 January 2025

To and including Sunday, 25 January 2026 ("the Initial Term")

And then continuing as a monthly contractual periodic tenancy until terminated in accordance with this agreement.
...
12.6. The Initial Term of this tenancy agreement may be terminated by either party giving the other at least two months' notice in writing, such notice not to expire until at least 6 months after the start of the Term.

That is, it might end before 25 Jan 2026 if I invoke the break clause. Or it might end later if I continue with the monthly contractual periodic tenancy.

Consider arbitraging with https://manifold.markets/mayaofspring/in-2026-what-place-will-i-mayaofspr

(AI-generated stuff)
Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the date on which I (@mayaofspring) vacate the property and return the keys to the landlord, thereby ending my tenancy. If I continue the tenancy on a monthly periodic basis beyond the initial term, the market will resolve to the date when I eventually terminate the tenancy.

Background

According to my rental agreement:

• Initial Term: 12 months, commencing on Sunday, 26 January 2025, and concluding on Sunday, 25 January 2026.

• Break Clause: Either party may terminate the tenancy by providing at least two months' written notice, with such notice not expiring until at least six months after the start of the term.

• Post-Initial Term: The tenancy continues as a monthly contractual periodic tenancy until terminated in accordance with the agreement.

This means I can invoke the break clause to end the tenancy as early as 26 September 2025, provided I give notice by 26 July 2025. Alternatively, I can continue the tenancy on a monthly basis after 25 January 2026, terminating it later with appropriate notice.

Considerations

The Renters' Rights Bill, expected to become law in England by late 2025 or early 2026, proposes significant reforms, including the abolition of no-fault (Section 21) evictions and the replacement of fixed-term tenancies with rolling periodic tenancies. These changes may affect the terms and conditions of my tenancy agreement. (moneyweek.com)