In 2026, what place will I (@mayaofspring) spend the most time in?
3
500Ṁ338
2026
30%
United Kingdom
29%
United States
19%
Singapore
5%
Hong Kong
3%
Japan
2%
France
2%
Ireland
2%
Poland
2%
Thailand
2%
Not listed
2%
Switzerland

Background
My life plans are ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ atm
I listed every country for which I can imagine a route leading me there

Consider arbitraging with https://manifold.markets/mayaofspring/my-mayaofspring-current-tenancy-end-nPNQuN2nO2

(AI-generated resolution criteria)
Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the country where I (@mayaofspring) spend the most midnights during the year 2026. Each midnight is counted based on my physical location at 12:00 AM local time. The country with the highest count of midnights will be deemed the answer. If I spend an equal number of midnights in multiple countries, the market will resolve to the country listed first among the tied options.

Considerations

  • Time zone differences mean that midnights occur at different moments globally. For consistency, each midnight is considered based on the local time of the country I am in at that moment.

  • If I am in transit (e.g., on an international flight) during midnight, the country where I last departed before midnight will be counted

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