Will Trump get a millennium high Jewish vote?
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26
Ṁ4038
Nov 24
92%
chance
big YES vote of confidence
the endorsement of the orthodox communities is hard to predict but pretty important... [image]

Will Donald Trump get more than 30% of the Jewish vote in the 2024 elections, which would be a high watermark since H.W. Bush got 35% in 1988.

Note: if there is no singular polling of the Jewish vote (as was the case in 2020), this market will use the Pew Research’s value for Resolution.

Recent Jewish Republican vote totals:

  • 2020 [Trump]: 30%

  • 2016 [Trump]: 24%

  • 2012 [Romney]: 30%

  • 2008 [McCain]: 22%

  • 2004 [Bush]: 24%

  • 2000 [Bush]: 19%

See a related market from @DanMan314 with a much higher bar:

#️ Politics
#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Trump
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Jewish People
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early estimates (exit polls) here have come in at 22% (nbc) and 32% (fox). could be close!

bought Ṁ100 YES

Just more than last time? When every poll shows him way up with Jews? Come on.

the endorsement of the orthodox communities is hard to predict but pretty important...

Semiotic Rivalryopened aṀ400YES at 60% order
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big YES vote of confidence

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