Will Trump win a majority of the Jewish vote in the 2024 Presidential election?
23
86
1k
Nov 7
14%
chance

If an actual bet gets made and resolved, I will tie the resolution criteria of this market to the terms of the bet.

Otherwise, I will resolve based on Pew Research’s analysis of the 2024 election. YES if Trump gets a majority of the self-identified Jewish vote, NO otherwise.

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Obviously not gonna happen