Will the US veto another UN Palestinian statehood resolution in the next 30 days?
May 19
big moves!

Context: U.S. Vetoes Palestinian Bid for Recognition as Full U.N. Member State

Of course the U.S will veto another Palestinian statehood bill at some point. Will it happen in the next 30 days?

Resolves NO if the US does not veto a UN Resolution pertaining to Palestinian statehood by market close.

Related UK market:

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

Resolves NO @mattyb

big moves!

@mattyb maybe I'm missing something, but it sounds like the last bid for statehood was over a decade ago, I'm not sure why there would be another one within 30 days regardless of how the US would vote on it.

@chrisjbillington don't you think the question refers to a repeat of the UN resolution this month, the one that is linked to in the description?

opened a Ṁ1 NO at 10% order


The resolution had asked the 15-member Security Council to recommend to the 193-member U.N. General Assembly that “the State of Palestine be admitted to membership of the United Nations,” diplomats said. To pass, the application needed to be approved by the Security Council with at least nine votes in favor and no vetoes by the United States, Britain, France, Russia or China. Then, at least two-thirds of the General Assembly would have had to approve it.

I'm not an expert, but my reading is that the General Assembly vote can't go ahead without the bid being recommended by the Security Council, and even if it did the US voting against a resolution wouldn't be a "veto" - only in the context of the Security Council does the US have "veto" power.

So I think this bid for statehood is dead, and given the delay after the last bid for statehood I would guess it's not common to try again immediately.

Let me know if it looks like I've misunderstood, though!

@chrisjbillington my view, simply put, is that it's pretty clear what @mattyb intended this question to be about from the description, which is a repeat of the US veto two weeks ago. But the creator just needs to clarify whether that is the case

@JoshuaWilkes I agree, and was talking about a general assembly vote in case that was what you were referring to. It doesn't sound like we disagree about what the question is about, do you think we do? Sounds like we just disagree about how likely it is!

@chrisjbillington the disagreement, I believe, is that you said the last 'bid for statehood' was over a decade ago, whereas my understanding is that in Matty's view it was two weeks ago.

@JoshuaWilkes Ah, indeed. What I meant was, given that the time in between the last two bids for statehood (including this most recent one) was over a decade, I would not expect a repeat within 30 days.

@chrisjbillington oh I see~

Well, 19 days to find out~

More related questions