Will the UK vote in favour of a UN Palestinian statehood resolution in 2024?

Question

Context: U.S. Vetoes Palestinian Bid for Recognition as Full U.N. Member State

The vote was 12 in favor of the resolution and one — the United States — opposed, with abstentions from Britain and Switzerland.

In 2024, will the UK vote in favour of a resolution for Palestinian statehood, regardless of whether the resolution ultimately passes?

Resolves NO if the UK does not vote for a UN Resolution pertaining to Palestinian statehood by market close.

Related US market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/mattyb/will-the-us-veto-another-un-palesti)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 3% chance (9 traders, as of Jan 17, 2025).