Will the US government shut down before the next Israel-Hamas ceasefire?
52
1kṀ10k
Jan 1
22%
chance
One of these seems a lot more likely right now…

Resolves YES if the US federal government has shut down (last happened in 2018-2019) before a bilateral Israel:Hamas ceasefire has been established, and NO otherwise.

Resolves YES the instant the government shuts down, and Resolves NO the instant both Israel and Hamas begin a cessation of violence. A formal armistice or other permanent cessation of the conflict will count as a ceasefire.

Market will extend as needed.

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