
Will the US government shut down before the next Israel-Hamas ceasefire?
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Resolves YES if the US federal government has shut down (last happened in 2018-2019) before a bilateral Israel:Hamas ceasefire has been established, and NO otherwise.
Resolves YES the instant the government shuts down, and Resolves NO the instant both Israel and Hamas begin a cessation of violence. A formal armistice or other permanent cessation of the conflict will count as a ceasefire.
Market will extend as needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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