Resolves YES if the US federal government has shut down (last happened in 2018-2019) before a bilateral Israel:Hamas ceasefire has been established, and NO otherwise.
Resolves YES the instant the government shuts down, and Resolves NO the instant both Israel and Hamas begin a cessation of violence. A formal armistice or other permanent cessation of the conflict will count as a ceasefire.
Market will extend as needed.
Related questions
@nathanwei I assume that you’re talking about a full “conquering” situation (for lack of a better word). If that reaches a state where there is no violence afterwards, I think that would likely count same as an armistice, as it would be a “permanent cessation” of fighting.
I’m nearly certain that invading Rafah will not result in an end to violence, but there’s a chance.
@mattyb There will be isolated things here and there, but Hamas won't control or administer any territory. It will be like PIJ or ISIS nowadays.