Will Shohei Ohtani hit more than 5 home runs in the 2024 postseason?
47
1kṀ20k
resolved Oct 31
Resolved
NO
Ohtani and the Dodgers are making their postseason debut now!
If the dodgers take every series to the final game and make the world series, Shohei gets 5 PAs per game, and he hits at his regular season average rate, about 7.2 home runs total (counting what we've seen already). Seems like there's a lot of ways to miss - pitching is stronger, some series might go shorter, dodgers might lose. Bought down to 20%. If a game wasn't about to start I'd make a limit order.
Huh. Ran it at: Dodgers 0.57 to beat the Mets in a given have Dodgers 0.5 to win games in world series if they make it Ohtani 0.6 to hit home runs against postseason pitching And he's still at 18%. Suddenly I don't want to hold "no"
And that’s 2!
AND THATS 3!!! 2nd pitch of the game
Dodgers in the world series but no more home runs against the Mets. At 0.07 hr/ab and 5 ab/game, 45% chance in a 7 game series. 33% in a 5.8 game series, which is the ev when matchups date coin flips. buying no down to 35%.
Limit order up for whoever keeps buying this thing above 50%
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Shohei Ohtani
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