Will Harvey Weinstein be re-convicted in NY?
Will Harvey Weinstein be re-convicted in NY?
6
160Ṁ126Jan 1
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Context: Accusers of Harvey Weinstein want new trial after overturned rape and assault conviction and Is Harvey Weinstein’s California conviction in jeopardy after N.Y. appeals ruling?
He was convicted in 2020 in New York of first-degree criminal sexual act and third-degree rape, and he was sentenced to 23 years in prison. However, the state court of appeals overturned that conviction Thursday and ordered a new trial
Will Harvey Weinstein be found guilty in a second NY trial? Resolves YES if Weinstein is found guilty of at least one charge. Resolves NO if he’s acquitted, or if prosecutors do not re-try him in 2024.
If he’s still being retried in 2025, this market will extend to the end of his trial.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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