Mini
24
1.2k
Jun 10
94%
10 people with a current Manifold net worth >=250k
89%
12 people born in different months
76%
A photo with @Aella and more men than were present at her gangbang (n=42)
75%
15 people born in different years
71%
12 people currently living in different counties
58%
15 people currently living in different states
54%
Birthday triplets (3 people with the same birthday - year doesn’t matter)
45%
@JamesGrugett with at least 7 other people named “James” or “Jim” or “Jimothy”
40%
A 4-leveled human pyramid with more than 8 people [must be structurally independently supported]
38%
Nate Silver with at least 5 other people named “Nate” or “Nathan” or “Nathaniel”
35%
A Bet on Love reunion ( @Aella with 3 or more of her BoL contestants)
24%
10 people on the Creator Top 20 leaderboard
17%
10 people on the Trader Top 20 leaderboard
7%
@ian with at least 7 other people named “Ian” or “Iain”
3%
One full HardFork (both Kevin Roose and Casey Newton in the same photo)

The goal here is to get people to attend Manifest, now, and to get people to socialize and meet new people, at Manifest.

For an answer to Resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:

  • A photograph must be captured, as proof. Selfie’s are fine. Nothing will Resolve YES without a photo. Photos must be posted on this market to count.

  • Photo was not edited, nor did it use AI, or any other generation tools.

  • The photo must be captured at Manifest’s physical location (Lighthaven), during the event of Manifest. I’m not counting anything that occurs outside of June 7-9th (or whenever Manifest is held), no Summer Camp, or any post-Fest activities. Nighttime during Manifest does count!

For now, I’m going to keep it such that only I can add new answers. Please throw out any/all suggestions!

Get Ṁ600 play money
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Nate Silver with at least 5 other people named “Nate” or “Nathan” or “Nathaniel”

What about “Jonathan”?

@mods mattyb market, so mods will need to resolve. quick clarification—I'm assuming a big group photo (like one i saw for last year) counts right? it doesn't have to be a pic taken explicitly for this market?

@Ziddletwix and @Joshua could maybe add this to the manifest dashboard, if mods plan to run this market?

@Ziddletwix if I resolved, my reading of this would say YES

@JamesGrugett with at least 7 other people named “James” or “Jim” or “Jimothy”

i really wanna make this happen, cc @JamesGrugett

@saulmunn 😂

Nate Silver with at least 5 other people named “Nate” or “Nathan” or “Nathaniel”

Me, @NathanpmYoung, and who else 👀

We’ve got the two Nathans Young, Nate Soares, and Nate Foss. Just one more!

cute idea