How will the S&P 500 perform across Q2 and Q3?
5
47
Ṁ67Ṁ225
Oct 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
-20% [<=-15%]
15%
-10% [-14.9%, -5.0%]
42%
0% [-4.9%, 4.9%]
20%
+10% [5.0%, 14.9%]
13%
+20% [>=15%]
Starting from the arbitrary point in time of “now” (March 16th), how will the S&P 500 perform until the end of Q3?
As of right now, the S&P 500 is at $5,1117.09. At the end of Q3 (Sept 30th), to the closest 10%, how will the S&P have performed?
This will involve rounding, so if the S&P closes at $5,500.00 on Sept 30th, the stock went up 7.48%, which rounds up to 10%. If the stock were up 5.0%, this would also resolve to 10%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 have days of both +3 and -3% in 2024?
71% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2024?
42% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in any quarter of 2025?
56% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2025?
37% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 20% in any quarter of 2025?
32% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q3 2024?
37% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q4 2024?
33% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase by over 10% in Q2 2024?
21% chance
Will the S&P 500 increase in every quarter of 2024?
16% chance
Will the S&P500 outperform the total world stock market over the next 50 years?
58% chance