Currently most of us leave the house with phone, wallet and keys.
Increasingly, phones are able to act as both a wallet and keys.
This will resolve to Yes if there is a reputable survey that demonstrates that the majority of Americans adults (18+) use their phones as their primary method of payment and keys (car and house) and answer some version of the question
“When you leave your home, what combination of phone, wallet and keys do you usually take?”
with the answer “Phones only”
The problem here is "majority". If this was people under 30 or maybe even 40 I'd vote "yes", but I don't see older people adopting this as a majority and of course this means a majority of people get cars that support this. I am probably gonna run my current cast till it's dead. Many others by used cars. Current cars would need to be largely off the roads for this to come true.
@eliot Good question! No - I think the condition should be that all important information and keys will be accessible digitally, from the phone only w/ no additional cards.
FWIW, I think Car Keys are probably the long pole here, rather than Driver's Licenses, Credit Cards or House Keys.