How many years will SBF’s sentence be?
65
665
3.4K
resolved Mar 28
100%99.7%
20-30
0.0%
0-5
0.0%
5-10
0.0%
10-20
0.2%
30-40
0.1%
40-60
0.0%
60-80
0.0%
80-100
0.0%
100+

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ10,000 20-30 YES

I'll interpret this as the first number being inclusive, and the second number being exclusive. So if it's exactly 30 years, it would resolve to the 30-40 bracket. This would be consistent with other Manifold and Polymarket markets regarding SBF sentencing.

@JonasVollmer I would have been so pissed if this mattered. As it is, it looks like we need an Admin to close this.

If it's e.g. 20 years, which option will this resolve as? "10-20" or "20-30"?