Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election?
7
25
Ṁ318Ṁ200
Sep 1
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the Saxony state election, the Social Democratic Party (SPD) is teetering on the edge, polling close to the 5% threshold. If they fail to cross this mark, they won’t secure any seats in the parliament.
Resolves YES if the SPD manages to garner more than 5% of the vote, securing representation.
Resolves NO If the SPD falls short of the 5% threshold, leaving them out of the parliament.
I'll use the projects available the day after the election if they report at least 6%. If it's closer than that, I'll extend the market until the formal results are available.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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