Will Germany achieve 65GW onshore wind energy in 2024?
9
64
190
Dec 31
25%
chance

According to the Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz (EEG) 2023 §4 1a, Germany shall have the capacity to provide 69GW onshore wind energy in 2024 (and 160GW by 2030). Allowing for a little slack, the goal for this question is 65GW.

This gets tracked by German Environment Agency (Umweltbundesamt – UBA), for example here 58GW in 2022, and by the Bundesnetzagentur, for example here.

Resolves YES if an official report by one of the two sources above states that at least 65GW onshore wind energy can be produced in Germany. Other official sources are acceptable too.

Resolves NO if official sources report less than 65GW capacity.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 of NO

Why is the goal in regards to onshore wind energy and not total energy (land+see)?

predicts NO

@kottsiek This market just uses the goal from the law. Why the law is land-only, I don't know.

Germany is decommissioning and the wind capacity may already be declining. Everywhere outside Texas is stagnant.

More related questions