Who will be the EPP spitzenkandidat for the 2024 European Parliament election?
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resolved Mar 7
Those who want to become the European People’s Party lead candidate for the EU election have from today until February 21 to apply. [...] The center-right group will then choose its Spitzenkandidat for the next European Commission presidency during an EPP summit in Bucharest on March 6-7. (source) I adapted the close date accordingly.
Jan 7
Von der Leyen expected to announce candidacy for second term on February 19
Jan 20
Ursula von der Leyen announces re-election bid as European Commission president
Feb 20
This can resolve https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/03/07/europes-centre-right-party-clears-path-for-von-der-leyens-re-election-despite-some-objecti
Mar 7
100%99.1%
Ursula von der Leyen
0.5%
Manfred Weber
0.1%
no spitzenkandidat
0.3%Other

The EPP announced May 2023 that they will nominate a spitzenkandidat (lead candidate) for the 2024 European Parliament election. Who will it be?

At the last election in 2019, Manfred Weber, the president of the EPP, was nominated. However, it is not the parliament but the council proposes the actual candidate and they surprisingly proposed Ursula von der Leyen instead. The parliament approved, so she became President of the Commission.

Resolves to the person the EPP announces as spitzenkandidat for the 2024 election.

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fyi I made a dashboard to collection election markets: https://manifold.markets/news/2024-european-parliament-election

bought Ṁ10 of Ursula von der Leyen YES

Those who want to become the European People’s Party lead candidate for the EU election have from today until February 21 to apply. [...]

The center-right group will then choose its Spitzenkandidat for the next European Commission presidency during an EPP summit in Bucharest on March 6-7. (source)

I adapted the close date accordingly.