When will the European Central Bank lower interest rates again?
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resolved Oct 8
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18%
Q1 2025
18%Other
16%
Q4 2024
15%
Q3 2024
13%
Q2 2024
10%
Q1 2024
7%
Q4 2023

Resolves to the quarter the ECB lowers interest rates first. It does not matter how much they lower it. Further increases are possible.

Close date might be extended.

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

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https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/ecb-done-hiking-rates-cut-not-expected-until-least-july-2023-09-19/

ECB done hiking rates but cut not expected until at least July
The European Central Bank is done hiking interest rates and will stay on hold until at least July next year, according to economists in a Reuters poll, who said there was only a one-in-five chance the central bank hikes again this year.

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