When will the European Central Bank lower interest rates again? | Manifold

When will the European Central Bank lower interest rates again?

1

275Ṁ1250

resolved Oct 8

ResolvedN/A

18%

Q1 2025

18%Other

16%

Q4 2024

15%

Q3 2024

13%

Q2 2024

10%

Q1 2024

7%

Q4 2023

Resolves to the quarter the ECB lowers interest rates first. It does not matter how much they lower it. Further increases are possible.

Close date might be extended.

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

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https://www.reuters.com/markets/rates-bonds/ecb-done-hiking-rates-cut-not-expected-until-least-july-2023-09-19/

ECB done hiking rates but cut not expected until at least July

The European Central Bank is done hiking interest rates and will stay on hold until at least July next year, according to economists in a Reuters poll, who said there was only a one-in-five chance the central bank hikes again this year.

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