This market predicts whether verifiable evidence confirming Kilmar Abrego Garcia's affiliation with MS-13 will emerge before May 21, 2025. Resolution will be based on official statements from U.S. or Salvadoran authorities, or credible news reports. Background: Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national, was deported from the U.S. in March 2025 amid allegations of MS-13 membership, which he denies. Source

• Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on creator feedback, reports merely detailing accusations of MS-13 affiliation, even if citing court documents from credible news sources, may not meet the threshold for concrete evidence required for a YES resolution. The evidence must be more definitive than reporting on accusations alone.