Concrete evidence of Abrego Garcia's MS-13 affiliation before May 21, 2025
25
100Ṁ1337
May 21
8%
chance

This market predicts whether verifiable evidence confirming Kilmar Abrego Garcia's affiliation with MS-13 will emerge before May 21, 2025. Resolution will be based on official statements from U.S. or Salvadoran authorities, or credible news reports. Background: Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national, was deported from the U.S. in March 2025 amid allegations of MS-13 membership, which he denies. Source

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What does affiliation mean here? The government already went on record that it was a mistake, so having a spokesperson suddenly turn around now that they're losing in court and say they have secret proof doesn't seem good enough.

bought Ṁ60 YES

The government already went on record that it was a mistake

@WilliamGunn The only mistake admitted and committed was deporting him before rescinding the protective order, which is a bit of a technicality and separate matter from his gang affiliation, for which there is quite extensive, if circumstantial, evidence.

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