Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2027? | Manifold

Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2027?

Basic

8

Ṁ506

2027

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

"More effective" - among all potential users, the treatment promotes better average hair restoration than any individual existing treatment (combinations of treatments do not count). Less side effects is not the same as better effectiveness.

Example of a high potential treatment:

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@ElizabethJSmith What do you think of promising treatments like GT20029 which has recently had positive safety results during phase 1 trials. If things were to continue smoothly, would it be approved before 2025? / What about 2027

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Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025?

Will an effective hair restoration medication be commercially available before 2030?

Which of these protein targets will have at least one new drug targeting them receive FDA approval between 2025 and 2030

Will there be an FDA approved cure for Alopecia by EOY 2032?

Will anti-aging treatments developed, approved and available for public usage by 2040?

Will male pattern baldness be curable via medication before 2035?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

Genetic hair treatments before 2040

Will the US FDA approve topical finasteride to treat male pattern baldness by 2034?

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