Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2027?
7
58
Ṁ257Ṁ150
2027
47%
chance
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"More effective" - among all potential users, the treatment promotes better average hair restoration than any individual existing treatment (combinations of treatments do not count). Less side effects is not the same as better effectiveness.
Example of a high potential treatment:
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@ElizabethJSmith What do you think of promising treatments like GT20029 which has recently had positive safety results during phase 1 trials. If things were to continue smoothly, would it be approved before 2025? / What about 2027
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