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MANIFOLD
Will Labour announce a leadership election before [date]
7
Ṁ250Ṁ581
2027
43%
2026-06-01 (1st June 2026)
63%
2026-07-01 (1st July 2026)
66%
2026-08-01 (1st August 2026)
66%
2026-09-01 (1st September 2026)
66%
2026-10-01 (1st October 2026)
66%
2026-11-01 (1st November 2026)
76%
2026-12-01 (1st December 2026)
85%
2027-01-01 (1st January 2027)
94%
2030-01-01 (1st January 2030)
Resolved
NO
2026-05-01 (1st May 2026)

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the Labour Party announces a leadership election (OR Kier Starmer announces his intention to resign) before the date specified. Resolution will be verified through official Labour Party statements or major UK news sources (BBC, The Guardian, Sky News, etc.).

Market context
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