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MANIFOLD
If a Labour leadership election is called before next GE, what is Labour's polling average over the month prior?
2
Ṁ225Ṁ417
2029
18.5 %
expected
99%
Above 0%
78%
Above 5%
67%
Above 10%
66%
Above 15%
42%
Above 20%
24%
Above 25%
20%
Above 30%
17%
Above 35%
11%
Above 40%

Resolves according to the average of the polls listed on https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election for the month prior to the date the Labour leadership election is announced, if this election occurs prior to the next general election. Otherwise N/A.

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