Will Ron DeSantis be one of the top two candidates in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary?
77
419
1.1K
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
NO

Resolves to YES if Ron DeSantis comes either first or second in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, where this is judged based on number of delegates, then by votes if there is a tie. Resolves to NO if he comes third or lower, or is not a candidate.

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bought Ṁ3,000 of NO

@lisamarsh can this resolve to NO, given that he dropped out?

@DanielTilkin Well, he’ll still be on the ballot, so I think I might as well wait a couple of days for the results (though it’s basically guaranteed that he won’t come first or second).

predicted YES

Gang. He's not doing*that* badly.

predicted NO
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bought Ṁ100 YES from 28% to 37%