Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?
4
47
αΉ40αΉ130
2025
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if at the next UK general election, John Redwood fails to be elected to the House of Commons (regardless of which constituency he stands in; he is currently the MP for Wokingham). It doesn't matter whether or not he stands as a Conservative. This market resolves to N/A if he is not a candidate in the next general election.
Inspired by this tweet by Sam Freedman: https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1655165111550476288
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