https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval
Resolves Yes if the linked market has more than 200 thousand mana volume after it has closed.
Close date updated to 2023-01-12 8:00 pm
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ1,132 | |
2 | Ṁ391 | |
3 | Ṁ149 | |
4 | Ṁ102 | |
5 | Ṁ65 |
@VitorBosshard Yes, true, except that the limit orders and the bots who immediately buy against you makes repeated trading at any volume far from costless.
The current volume seems to be 50k, I find it unlikely that the volume can go 4x anytime soon.
@Hei I have worries heavy hitters could still have plans to pump volume right before the end. (I don’t think saying that aloud makes this scenario much more likely than it was before.)
@degtorad You're right, it's possible but unlikely in my calculation. I'm already out of the market so I could explain my reasoning here in public without it affecting me... but what I say might really affect the other market and anyone who's invested in it. Would you like me to explain it or not? I'm ok either way