https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-i-have-130-followers-at-market

Will I have 130+ followers at market close June 29th

37% chance. Next: (https://manifold.markets/embed/levifinkelstein/will-i-have-139-followers-at-market)Previous: (https://manifold.markets/embed/levifinkelstein/will-i-have-122-followers-at-market)

117 followers today

L so big i now have negative balance

🤔 Thinking we need to change things up a little bit.

@levifinkelstein Hmm. if you got banned, would you still be getting followers?

@ShadowyZephyr Yes. Being banned means only one can't create markets or comment, but can still trade and be followed - in most cases as far as I am aware.

@XComhghall well yeah but would people want to, that's what i meant

@ShadowyZephyr I see. And woah, the follower count dropped so quickly after resolution.

resolves yes at 126 followers

@fredrickslick I sold anyway just in case, but yeah, resolves YES

@ShadowyZephyr never had such an adrenaline pump over fake money, def worth betting half my balance lmao

Following now without intending to unfollow at the last second seems really unprofitable

@Logaems I'd unfollow for a whole zero mana.

@Logaems I did just unfollow, but I don't think it's enough lol

@ShadowyZephyr Yep it was not

BRO (s) ITS 500 FREE MANA WHY ARENT YOU UNFOLLOWING

@8 Because the people in this comment section aren't enough, most of the people who got it above 122 left already.

I made an error thinking the market would go down to 50-60% before it ended because of something like this

@ShadowyZephyr I think this happened last time too, or the time before last time. History repeats itself, until something like WvM.

@8 Because it was conditional on NO, so the mean value was not that high, and I was too YES-commited already.

@XComhghall I don't understand how this is possible, but these markets actually seem to be gaining Levi permanent followers, at least a couple

@ShadowyZephyr If the expected rates at which people follow you are greater than the expected rates at which they unfollow you then you can expect to gain followers over time

@levifinkelstein Thank you Captain Obvious

But, are these markets causing you to gain permanent followers??? That is really the question

And it seems like the answer is NO

@ShadowyZephyr So what is causing me permanent followers? I assumed it was these markets for the most part

@levifinkelstein well you lost all of them afterwards, maybe the others caused followers but not this one??

@ShadowyZephyr I guess so. Levi has gained quite a significant number of followers seemingly permanently - despite the usual drop after resolution, it is still 120 compared to last market's 115.

@ShadowyZephyr do you concede you're wrong?

@levifinkelstein I don't know. This market doesn't seem to have increased your follower count, but maybe the others did?

He started in January with only 10. You can search for 'followers' here.

It's a gradual but so far seemingly very effective process.

@XComhghall Interesting. So maybe it does help. TIME FOR ME TO MAKE FOLLOWERS MARKETS

@ShadowyZephyr Lol. Good luck. I'll follow by market close. Maybe I'll forget to unfollow, and there you go, myself offered as a permanent follower.

@ShadowyZephyr I take the W in this debate, I'll add it to the scoreboard

@XComhghall that was a joke i'm not going to do that (not yet anyway)

@levifinkelstein scoreboard of what? I never even conceded that it worked, I'm still not sure if this market specifically increased your permanent follower count, because I don't know where the other 5 followers before close date (115 -> 120) came from.