Will a Large Language Model prove an important math theorem by end of 2024?
14
49
Ṁ426Ṁ290
Dec 31
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
We consider it "important" if there has already been much work by mathematicians to prove it. If an LLM only had minor contributions we don't consider it to be the LLM that proved it.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
42% chance
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
50% chance
Will any product built using a large language model receive FDA clearance by the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will the majority of mathematicians rely on formal computer proof assistants before the end of 2040?
65% chance
Will a Large Language Model be deployed on a mission to land on a moon or planet by the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
63% chance
Will language models solve cryptic crosswords by end of 2026?
72% chance
By 2025 will there be a competitive large language model with >50% of the total training data generated from a large language model?
75% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
48% chance
By the end of 2024, will at least 1 substantive Linux kernel commit have been written entirel by a large language model?
5% chance