This market resolves to NO if there's at least two people holding 157 YES shares, otherwise it resolves YES.
51
123
แน€990
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO


Close date updated to 2023-02-26 11:59 pm

Get แน€200 play money

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predicted NO

This can resolve Yes now @levifinkelstein

predicted NO

@Svenbonne I mean No ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

Looks like Levi won't even be here to resolve the market I'd advise you to guys not to put too much mana in here

bought แน€0 of NO

@Simon1551 why should @levifinkelstein not be here to resolve this market?

@Svenbonne he's been absent for a little while now you can see that he has like 5 markets unresolved I doubt he'll be back by the time this market closes

predicted NO

@Simon1551 ahh okay, see. Thank you!

predicted YES

@Simon1551 I'm here

bought แน€9 of YES

Also holding my position of 157 YES. Get your free mana!

@howtodowtle i offer you 50แน€ to switch sides

predicted YES

@Dreamingpast That's hardly enough of a bribe, by just buying 10 mana more you can make a profit of 70M. You gotta up your bribery amount

predicted YES

@Dreamingpast Thanks for the offer but I won't change my bet under any circumstances. I will be holding 157 YES at close.

predicted YES

@howtodowtle If any NO (or YES) people want to give me mana, just bet on one of my markets or something. ๐Ÿ˜€

bought แน€1,000 of NO

Isn't this basically free mana with 8 people holding 157 Yes?

predicted YES

@Svenbonne No, at market close two must be holding exactly 157. It's the prisoners dilemma, kind of

predicted YES

Don't all the Yes-ers just buy a ton extra at the last second. Unless they are being payed to stick to 157

bought แน€17 of YES

I promise not to change my 157 position

predicted YES

Do the 2 people have to be holding >=157 YES shares, or EXACTLY 157 YES shares?

@Jotto999 definitely interpreted as exactly...

sold แน€19 of YES

@Jotto999 exactly

I will outbid the bid to hold 157 shares ๐Ÿ‘€

@Simon1551 I meant to comment on @josh's comment...

predicted NO

is it a question of if there's two people holding at market close or at any point?

predicted NO

@Preen they have to be holding at market close

Hereby taking bids for holding or not-holding 157 YES shares, via manalink (fulfillment via Manifold Discord).