This market resolves to NO if there's at least two people holding 157 YES shares, otherwise it resolves YES.
51
122
990
resolved Feb 28
Resolved
NO


Close date updated to 2023-02-26 11:59 pm

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predicted NO

This can resolve Yes now @levifinkelstein

predicted NO

@Svenbonne I mean No 😬

Looks like Levi won't even be here to resolve the market I'd advise you to guys not to put too much mana in here

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@Simon1551 why should @levifinkelstein not be here to resolve this market?

@Svenbonne he's been absent for a little while now you can see that he has like 5 markets unresolved I doubt he'll be back by the time this market closes

predicted NO

@Simon1551 ahh okay, see. Thank you!

predicted YES

@Simon1551 I'm here

bought Ṁ9 of YES

Also holding my position of 157 YES. Get your free mana!

@howtodowtle i offer you 50Ṁ to switch sides

predicted YES

@Dreamingpast That's hardly enough of a bribe, by just buying 10 mana more you can make a profit of 70M. You gotta up your bribery amount

predicted YES

@Dreamingpast Thanks for the offer but I won't change my bet under any circumstances. I will be holding 157 YES at close.

predicted YES

@howtodowtle If any NO (or YES) people want to give me mana, just bet on one of my markets or something. 😀

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

Isn't this basically free mana with 8 people holding 157 Yes?

predicted YES

@Svenbonne No, at market close two must be holding exactly 157. It's the prisoners dilemma, kind of

predicted YES

Don't all the Yes-ers just buy a ton extra at the last second. Unless they are being payed to stick to 157

bought Ṁ17 of YES

I promise not to change my 157 position

predicted YES

Do the 2 people have to be holding >=157 YES shares, or EXACTLY 157 YES shares?

@Jotto999 definitely interpreted as exactly...

sold Ṁ19 of YES

@Jotto999 exactly

I will outbid the bid to hold 157 shares 👀

@Simon1551 I meant to comment on @josh's comment...

predicted NO

is it a question of if there's two people holding at market close or at any point?

predicted NO

@Preen they have to be holding at market close

Hereby taking bids for holding or not-holding 157 YES shares, via manalink (fulfillment via Manifold Discord).