Will a shutdown during 2026 become the longest?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ70Dec 31
26%
chance
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6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a federal government shutdown happens in 2026 and breaks the record for the longest shutdown (43 days)
If a shutdown doesn't happen in 2026, or if no shutdown in 2026 lasts over 43 days, this market will resolve NO
If a shutdown starts in 2026 but ends during a later year, this market will resolve depending on whether the record was broken in 2026
If a shutdown lasts exactly 43 days, this market will resolve 50%
Resolution will be determined based on credible sources
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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