Will at least two people be killed in a politically/ideologically/religiously motivated attack in Germany in 2023?
7
130แน€2061
resolved May 10
Resolved
YES

Has to be a single event (so no completely unrelated murders). There has to be solid evidence, e. g. chat logs, a manifesto, explicit statements by the killer, that the killer was motivated in part by some ideology and not just insanity.

After such an event occurs, I will wait at least one month after the deaths to resolve, since the aftermath of such attacks often involve a lot of smoke/uncertainty. Additionally, immediate speculation after the deaths seems disrespectful.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€119
2แน€16
3แน€12
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy