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MANIFOLD
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
154
แน€11kแน€81k
Jan 1
49%
James Talarico (D)
50%
Ken Paxton (R)
0%
Other

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I updated this market, and some others like it, to use the names of the participants for simplicity. It still resolves to the PARTY and not the person. Title remains true. I don't know if I need to comment this everywhere or if that's obvious enough -- the title clearly says the party on each market like it.

opened a แน€1,000 YES at 34% order

The articles of impeachment included allegations that Paxton gave preferential treatment to a political donor who bribed him, misapplied public resources and made false statements against whistleblowers, obstructed justice in the securities fraud trial against him, and made false statements regarding his financial interests.

Ken Paxton cheated on his wife

Trump has negative approval in Texas

James talarico is a decent person

@polymathematic I feel bad taking your mana ๐Ÿ˜† but respect you live in texas and know the on the ground situation much better than me

@Jack1 ๐Ÿ˜ฌ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

opened a แน€10,000 YES at 32% order

Iโ€™ve placed a big limit order at 32% for the dems @traders

@Jack1 ๐Ÿ‘€

opened a แน€4,500 YES at 32% order

I put another order up

I assume that with the "other" outcome, this is about the party affiliation listed on the ballot, not who the winner caucuses with?