How will Germany address the €60B gap after the court's ruling on debt reallocation into the climate fund?
40
2.6kṀ8464
resolved Feb 9
Resolved
YES
Increase tax on flight tickets
Resolved
YES
Declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") to circumvent the debt brake
Resolved
YES
simply do less pro-climate spending
Resolved
YES
Any substantial reduction of environmentally harmful subsidies (> €1 Billion)
Resolved
YES
Additional increase of the CO2 price
Resolved
YES
Implement budget cuts in social spending
Resolved
NO
Utilize public-private partnerships or the state-owned development bank KfW to maneuver around the debt brake
Resolved
NO
Create a special fund for climate protection
Resolved
NO
Tax kerosene in the context of air travel
Resolved
NO
Declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") to circumvent the debt brake for the year 2024
Resolved
NO
Drop the company car privilege
Resolved
NO
Reform the debt brake (requires a two-thirds majority in both houses of parliament)
Resolved
NO
Increasing taxes for higher income brackets.

Germany's Federal Constitutional Court ruled that reallocating €60 billion of unused pandemic-era debt to a climate and transformation fund was unconstitutional, impacting the government's budget plans https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-budget-woes-a-threat-to-the-government/a-67487625.

Following the court ruling, the German government must find alternative means to fill the €60 billion budget gap without reallocating the specified debt. The purpose of the question is to predict which strategies the government will adopt to address this financial shortfall.

This market will resolve positively for any selected option if the German government implements the corresponding measure during the revision of the budget (at least partially), specifically in response to the budget gap created by the Constitutional Court's ruling. However, if the government disbands or a new government is formed before the budget issue is resolved, the market will resolve as N/A. The implementation of any measure, whether tax increases, budget cuts, subsidy eliminations, or others, must be clearly initiated or enacted as part of the budget revision process. These do not include measures that were already implemented before this question was announced.
I will wait until the members of the German federal parliament (Bundestag) voted to implement an option for resolution.

This is my first question on Manifold, so feel free to message me with advice/issues. I will not bet on this market.

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