Germany's Federal Constitutional Court ruled that reallocating €60 billion of unused pandemic-era debt to a climate and transformation fund was unconstitutional, impacting the government's budget plans https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-budget-woes-a-threat-to-the-government/a-67487625.
Following the court ruling, the German government must find alternative means to fill the €60 billion budget gap without reallocating the specified debt. The purpose of the question is to predict which strategies the government will adopt to address this financial shortfall.
This market will resolve positively for any selected option if the German government implements the corresponding measure during the revision of the budget (at least partially), specifically in response to the budget gap created by the Constitutional Court's ruling. However, if the government disbands or a new government is formed before the budget issue is resolved, the market will resolve as N/A. The implementation of any measure, whether tax increases, budget cuts, subsidy eliminations, or others, must be clearly initiated or enacted as part of the budget revision process. These do not include measures that were already implemented before this question was announced.
I will wait until the members of the German federal parliament (Bundestag) voted to implement an option for resolution.
This is my first question on Manifold, so feel free to message me with advice/issues. I will not bet on this market.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ744 | |
2 | Ṁ67 | |
3 | Ṁ62 | |
4 | Ṁ47 | |
5 | Ṁ45 |