Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028? | Manifold

Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?

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Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either. Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)

*I.e., not through an index

Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
- Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
- Investments through indirect means (e.g., equity via a Nasdaq tracker or index) are not considered valid.

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Also this:

https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/what-assets-will-become-part-of-the

What if there is no fund?

@WilliamGunn see the final parenthetical

Does it have to be invested in the company directly or would owning equity count?

What if the wealth fund buys a Nasdaq tracker?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer good point. Direct investment is required, I updated the criteria

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