Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
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38%
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Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either. Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)
*I.e., not through an index
Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
Investments through indirect means (e.g., equity via a Nasdaq tracker or index) are not considered valid.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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