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MANIFOLD
Who will finish on second place on 2024's Mexico Presidential Election?
12
Ṁ120Ṁ885
resolved Jun 4
100%98.2%
Xóchitl Gálvez
0.9%
Claudia Sheinbaum
0.9%
Jorge Álvarez Máynez

Mexico will have a Presidential Election on the 2nd of June, 2024. It appears Claudia Sheinbaum will win (according to polls) but Xóchitl Gálvez claims she has seen polls where she's winning. Finally, after the first debate and thanks to interactions online, Máynez, who is in third place, could get more votes than expected.

I thought second place is more interesting to predict, so here we are.

This question closes one day after the last debate and solves to whoever the INE (Electoral National Institute) places in second place.

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I'm waiting for PREP to count enough votes to be irreversible, however it's clear this will resolve to Xóchitl Gálvez.