FIDE Chess Candidates Tournament - Round 8 Bets
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ16k
resolved Nov 8
Resolved
YES
A game lasts for more than 60 moves
Resolved
YES
An American player wins
Resolved
YES
Abasov draws
Resolved
YES
Nepo is still ranked #1
Resolved
YES
Hikaru wins
Resolved
YES
Gukesh wins
Resolved
YES
A rating underdog wins a game
Resolved
YES
Only one player has the lowest score after every match has ended
Resolved
YES
An Indian player wins
Resolved
NO
Vidit has less than 5 minutes before move 35
Resolved
NO
Caruana wins
Resolved
NO
Firouzja wins
Resolved
NO
Pragg wins
Resolved
NO
3 or more draws
Resolved
NO
4 draws
Resolved
NO
Nepo wins
Resolved
NO
White wins more games than black
Resolved
NO
Vidit is one hour down on clock compared to Gukesh at any point before move 20
Resolved
NO
Over 30 minutes is spent on a move

The matches start on April 13th at 2:30 PM EDT (Market is posted a day before).

Games can be followed here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-8/X9LGGQoT

Extra info: https://www.chess.com/events/2024-fide-candidates-chess-tournament

Info on rankings:

Rankings are taken from here: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-8/nUycmG6L#leaderboard

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Feel free to suggest any questions or send proof when something resolves as yes or no

https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-1/AjqSsU1w/MMeoOjN2 move

19

Nakamura takes from 1:41:13 to 1:06:46
This was in round 1, I believe this was the only 30 minute move in the tournament

@BoltonBailey Or is this just for round 8 of the tournament? If so I didn't see any 30 minute moves

@BoltonBailey Actually nevermind, my script is bugged

@BoltonBailey Ok I checked again and didn't find any in round 8, the pgn file for the round is downloadable from lichess

[Event "FIDE Candidates 2024"]
[Site "Toronto, Canada"]
[Date "2024.04.13"]
[Round "8"]
[White "Praggnanandhaa R"]
[Black "Firouzja, Alireza"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[WhiteElo "2747"]
[WhiteTitle "GM"]
[WhiteFideId "25059530"]
[BlackElo "2760"]
[BlackTitle "GM"]
[BlackFideId "12573981"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:1800+30"]
[Variant "Standard"]
[ECO "B47"]
[Opening "Sicilian Defense: Taimanov Variation, Bastrikov Variation"]
[Annotator "https://lichess.org/broadcast/-/-/nUycmG6L"]

1. e4 { [%clk 1:59:09] } 1... c5 { [%clk 1:59:53] } 2. Nf3 { [%clk 1:58:57] } 2... e6 { [%clk 1:59:47] } 3. d4 { [%clk 1:58:33] } 3... cxd4 { [%clk 1:59:42] } 4. Nxd4 { [%clk 1:58:29] } 4... Nc6 { [%clk 1:59:35] } 5. Nc3 { [%clk 1:58:12] } 5... Qc7 { [%clk 1:59:29] } 6. Ncb5 { [%clk 1:56:16] } 6... Qb8 { [%clk 1:50:52] } 7. Bd3 { [%clk 1:55:21] } 7... a6 { [%clk 1:44:01] } 8. Nxc6 { [%clk 1:55:13] } 8... bxc6 { [%clk 1:42:33] } 9. Nd4 { [%clk 1:53:36] } 9... c5 { [%clk 1:32:00] } 10. Nf3 { [%clk 1:51:51] } 10... Ne7 { [%clk 1:29:33] } 11. O-O { [%clk 1:39:57] } 11... Bb7 { [%clk 1:23:50] } 12. c3 { [%clk 1:21:40] } 12... Ng6 { [%clk 1:20:10] } 13. Rb1 { [%clk 1:16:36] } 13... Be7 { [%clk 1:17:01] } 14. b4 { [%clk 1:11:31] } 14... O-O { [%clk 0:56:33] } 15. a4 { [%clk 1:04:27] } 15... Qc7 { [%clk 0:48:51] } 16. Re1 { [%clk 0:51:14] } 16... d5 { [%clk 0:42:33] } 17. bxc5 { [%clk 0:44:59] } 17... dxe4 { [%clk 0:42:03] } 18. Rxb7 { [%clk 0:43:44] } 18... Qxb7 { [%clk 0:41:58] } 19. Bxe4 { [%clk 0:43:37] } 19... Qc7 { [%clk 0:41:46] } 20. Bxa8 { [%clk 0:43:31] } 20... Rxa8 { [%clk 0:41:42] } 21. Be3 { [%clk 0:38:49] } 21... Bxc5 { [%clk 0:40:43] } 22. Bxc5 { [%clk 0:37:18] } 22... Qxc5 { [%clk 0:39:54] } 23. Qd3 { [%clk 0:37:01] } 23... Qc6 { [%clk 0:36:25] } 24. Re4 { [%clk 0:34:44] } 24... Rc8 { [%clk 0:33:53] } 25. h3 { [%clk 0:31:14] } 25... h6 { [%clk 0:19:26] } 26. a5 { [%clk 0:25:14] } 26... Qd5 { [%clk 0:14:23] } 27. Qxa6 { [%clk 0:21:07] } 27... Ra8 { [%clk 0:13:16] } 28. Qc4 { [%clk 0:19:44] } 28... Qxa5 { [%clk 0:12:21] } 29. Re1 { [%clk 0:17:06] } 29... Qd5 { [%clk 0:10:36] } 30. Qxd5 { [%clk 0:15:50] } 30... exd5 { [%clk 0:10:30] } 31. g3 { [%clk 0:14:27] } 31... Rc8 { [%clk 0:10:18] } 32. Re3 { [%clk 0:14:09] } 32... Kf8 { [%clk 0:09:47] } 33. Kg2 { [%clk 0:12:37] } 33... Ne7 { [%clk 0:08:54] } 34. Nd4 { [%clk 0:12:22] } 34... Nc6 { [%clk 0:08:24] } 35. Nf5 { [%clk 0:10:48] } 35... Rd8 { [%clk 0:07:30] } 36. Rd3 { [%clk 0:09:38] } 36... h5 { [%clk 0:06:41] } 37. Ne3 { [%clk 0:08:37] } 37... d4 { [%clk 0:06:27] } 38. cxd4 { [%clk 0:08:33] } 38... Rxd4 { [%clk 0:06:16] } 39. Rxd4 { [%clk 0:08:29] } 39... Nxd4 { [%clk 0:06:11] } 40. h4 { [%clk 0:38:55] } 40... g6 { [%clk 0:36:34] } 1/2-1/2


[Event "FIDE Candidates 2024"]
[Site "Toronto, Canada"]
[Date "2024.04.13"]
[Round "8"]
[White "Vidit, Santosh Gujrathi"]
[Black "Gukesh D"]
[Result "0-1"]
[WhiteElo "2727"]
[WhiteTitle "GM"]
[WhiteFideId "5029465"]
[BlackElo "2743"]
[BlackTitle "GM"]
[BlackFideId "46616543"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:1800+30"]
[Variant "Standard"]
[ECO "C55"]
[Opening "Italian Game: Two Knights Defense, Modern Bishop's Opening"]
[Annotator "https://lichess.org/broadcast/-/-/nUycmG6L"]

1. e4 { [%clk 1:59:14] } 1... e5 { [%clk 1:59:54] } 2. Nf3 { [%clk 1:59:01] } 2... Nc6 { [%clk 1:59:48] } 3. Bc4 { [%clk 1:58:45] } 3... Nf6 { [%clk 1:59:37] } 4. d3 { [%clk 1:58:31] } 4... a6 { [%clk 1:59:31] } 5. O-O { [%clk 1:38:52] } 5... h6 { [%clk 1:59:24] } 6. a4 { [%clk 1:30:34] } 6... Bc5 { [%clk 1:58:17] } 7. Be3 { [%clk 1:27:36] } 7... d6 { [%clk 1:57:41] } 8. Nbd2 { [%clk 1:25:09] } 8... O-O { [%clk 1:47:03] } 9. c3 { [%clk 1:23:49] } 9... Re8 { [%clk 1:34:28] } 10. b4 { [%clk 0:57:08] } 10... Bxe3 { [%clk 1:34:15] } 11. fxe3 { [%clk 0:57:06] } 11... Be6 { [%clk 1:32:14] } 12. b5 { [%clk 0:56:39] } 12... Nb8 { [%clk 1:28:48] } 13. Bxe6 { [%clk 0:46:44] } 13... Rxe6 { [%clk 1:28:38] } 14. Qc2 { [%clk 0:45:38] } 14... Nbd7 { [%clk 1:27:23] } 15. d4 { [%clk 0:44:21] } 15... Qe8 { [%clk 1:22:56] } 16. Rae1 { [%clk 0:43:36] } 16... axb5 { [%clk 1:20:25] } 17. axb5 { [%clk 0:43:34] } 17... Ra5 { [%clk 1:19:51] } 18. c4 { [%clk 0:38:19] } 18... Qa8 { [%clk 1:04:57] } 19. h3 { [%clk 0:37:58] } 19... Re8 { [%clk 1:02:27] } 20. Kh2 { [%clk 0:35:45] } 20... b6 { [%clk 0:54:57] } 21. Rf2 { [%clk 0:34:21] } 21... Ra2 { [%clk 0:52:30] } 22. Qd3 { [%clk 0:31:55] } 22... Ra3 { [%clk 0:46:52] } 23. Qb1 { [%clk 0:26:16] } 23... Qa4 { [%clk 0:35:08] } 24. Nh4 { [%clk 0:26:06] } 24... Ra8 { [%clk 0:33:25] } 25. Nf5 { [%clk 0:25:22] } 25... Kf8 { [%clk 0:30:20] } 26. Ref1 { [%clk 0:24:40] } 26... Ra1 { [%clk 0:29:25] } 27. Qd3 { [%clk 0:24:15] } 27... Qb4 { [%clk 0:24:45] } 28. Rxa1 { [%clk 0:12:22] } 28... Rxa1 { [%clk 0:24:42] } 29. c5 { [%clk 0:10:40] } 29... bxc5 { [%clk 0:21:54] } 30. Nc4 { [%clk 0:10:37] } 30... Qe1 { [%clk 0:20:15] } 31. Re2 { [%clk 0:10:27] } 31... Qg1+ { [%clk 0:17:45] } 32. Kg3 { [%clk 0:10:26] } 32... Nh5+ { [%clk 0:16:01] } 33. Kh4 { [%clk 0:10:10] } 33... Ndf6 { [%clk 0:15:52] } 34. Nxh6 { [%clk 0:09:44] } 34... Qh2 { [%clk 0:14:41] } 35. Nf5 { [%clk 0:08:58] } 35... Rf1 { [%clk 0:14:08] } 36. g4 { [%clk 0:03:46] } 36... Rxf5 { [%clk 0:13:42] } 37. exf5 { [%clk 0:03:30] } 37... Qg3+ { [%clk 0:13:38] } 38. Kg5 { [%clk 0:03:27] } 38... Nh7+ { [%clk 0:13:33] } 0-1


[Event "FIDE Candidates 2024"]
[Site "Toronto, Canada"]
[Date "2024.04.13"]
[Round "8"]
[White "Nakamura, Hikaru"]
[Black "Caruana, Fabiano"]
[Result "1-0"]
[WhiteElo "2789"]
[WhiteTitle "GM"]
[WhiteFideId "2016192"]
[BlackElo "2803"]
[BlackTitle "GM"]
[BlackFideId "2020009"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:1800+30"]
[Variant "Standard"]
[ECO "C77"]
[Opening "Ruy Lopez: Morphy Defense, Anderssen Variation"]
[Annotator "https://lichess.org/broadcast/-/-/nUycmG6L"]

1. e4 { [%clk 1:59:54] } 1... e5 { [%clk 1:59:56] } 2. Nf3 { [%clk 1:59:42] } 2... Nc6 { [%clk 1:59:50] } 3. Bb5 { [%clk 1:59:36] } 3... a6 { [%clk 1:59:45] } 4. Ba4 { [%clk 1:59:31] } 4... Nf6 { [%clk 1:59:40] } 5. d3 { [%clk 1:59:24] } 5... Bc5 { [%clk 1:59:29] } 6. O-O { [%clk 1:59:13] } 6... d6 { [%clk 1:53:21] } 7. c3 { [%clk 1:56:42] } 7... O-O { [%clk 1:50:12] } 8. Re1 { [%clk 1:56:16] } 8... Ne7 { [%clk 1:45:54] } 9. Nbd2 { [%clk 1:53:54] } 9... Ng6 { [%clk 1:45:34] } 10. Nf1 { [%clk 1:47:57] } 10... d5 { [%clk 1:36:24] } 11. exd5 { [%clk 1:33:08] } 11... Nxd5 { [%clk 1:34:07] } 12. Bb3 { [%clk 1:32:21] } 12... c6 { [%clk 1:28:47] } 13. d4 { [%clk 1:29:37] } 13... exd4 { [%clk 1:28:27] } 14. Nxd4 { [%clk 1:29:31] } 14... Nf6 { [%clk 1:10:58] } 15. h3 { [%clk 1:25:18] } 15... Bxd4 { [%clk 1:10:53] } 16. cxd4 { [%clk 1:24:23] } 16... Nd5 { [%clk 1:04:58] } 17. Bc2 { [%clk 1:10:44] } 17... Be6 { [%clk 1:03:01] } 18. Ng3 { [%clk 1:09:30] } 18... Ndf4 { [%clk 0:58:18] } 19. Re4 { [%clk 1:00:51] } 19... Nd5 { [%clk 0:50:08] } 20. a3 { [%clk 0:59:07] } 20... Re8 { [%clk 0:49:28] } 21. Bd2 { [%clk 0:47:07] } 21... Nf6 { [%clk 0:37:36] } 22. Bg5 { [%clk 0:46:08] } 22... h6 { [%clk 0:37:32] } 23. Bxf6 { [%clk 0:38:46] } 23... Qxf6 { [%clk 0:37:27] } 24. Qd2 { [%clk 0:37:39] } 24... Qg5 { [%clk 0:33:18] } 25. Re3 { [%clk 0:35:57] } 25... Nf4 { [%clk 0:13:38] } 26. h4 { [%clk 0:32:55] } 26... Qd5 { [%clk 0:13:23] } 27. Re4 { [%clk 0:22:12] } 27... Ng6 { [%clk 0:12:31] } 28. Rae1 { [%clk 0:21:52] } 28... Nf8 { [%clk 0:11:16] } 29. Re5 { [%clk 0:16:15] } 29... Qd8 { [%clk 0:10:51] } 30. h5 { [%clk 0:15:24] } 30... Bd7 { [%clk 0:08:02] } 31. Rxe8 { [%clk 0:11:51] } 31... Bxe8 { [%clk 0:07:59] } 32. Nf5 { [%clk 0:11:47] } 32... Qf6 { [%clk 0:07:51] } 33. Qb4 { [%clk 0:11:42] } 33... b5 { [%clk 0:05:27] } 34. Ne7+ { [%clk 0:11:34] } 34... Kh8 { [%clk 0:05:23] } 35. Nd5 { [%clk 0:11:30] } 1-0


[Event "FIDE Candidates 2024"]
[Site "Toronto, Canada"]
[Date "2024.04.13"]
[Round "8"]
[White "Nepomniachtchi, Ian"]
[Black "Abasov, Nijat"]
[Result "1/2-1/2"]
[WhiteElo "2758"]
[WhiteTitle "GM"]
[WhiteFideId "4168119"]
[BlackElo "2632"]
[BlackTitle "GM"]
[BlackFideId "13402960"]
[TimeControl "40/7200:1800+30"]
[Variant "Standard"]
[ECO "C42"]
[Opening "Petrov's Defense: French Attack"]
[Annotator "https://lichess.org/broadcast/-/-/nUycmG6L"]

1. e4 { [%clk 1:59:56] } 1... e5 { [%clk 1:59:57] } 2. Nf3 { [%clk 1:59:50] } 2... Nf6 { [%clk 1:59:53] } 3. Nxe5 { [%clk 1:59:44] } 3... d6 { [%clk 1:59:49] } 4. Nf3 { [%clk 1:59:37] } 4... Nxe4 { [%clk 1:59:45] } 5. d3 { [%clk 1:59:31] } 5... Nf6 { [%clk 1:59:40] } 6. d4 { [%clk 1:59:26] } 6... d5 { [%clk 1:59:26] } 7. Bd3 { [%clk 1:59:19] } 7... c5 { [%clk 1:58:50] } 8. O-O { [%clk 1:57:16] } 8... c4 { [%clk 1:58:19] } 9. Be2 { [%clk 1:51:52] } 9... Nc6 { [%clk 1:55:09] } 10. b3 { [%clk 1:50:28] } 10... cxb3 { [%clk 1:54:37] } 11. axb3 { [%clk 1:49:55] } 11... Bd6 { [%clk 1:46:52] } 12. c4 { [%clk 1:40:29] } 12... O-O { [%clk 1:43:38] } 13. Nc3 { [%clk 1:38:32] } 13... h6 { [%clk 1:38:55] } 14. cxd5 { [%clk 1:13:40] } 14... Nb4 { [%clk 1:15:33] } 15. Ne5 { [%clk 1:13:32] } 15... Nbxd5 { [%clk 1:07:23] } 16. Nxd5 { [%clk 1:12:13] } 16... Nxd5 { [%clk 1:06:18] } 17. Bc4 { [%clk 1:12:09] } 17... Be6 { [%clk 0:58:27] } 18. Qf3 { [%clk 1:10:45] } 18... Bb4 { [%clk 0:58:07] } 19. Qg3 { [%clk 1:07:46] } 19... Kh8 { [%clk 0:56:43] } 20. Ra2 { [%clk 1:05:24] } 20... a5 { [%clk 0:48:13] } 21. Re2 { [%clk 1:02:33] } 21... Qb6 { [%clk 0:41:55] } 22. Re4 { [%clk 0:48:09] } 22... Nc3 { [%clk 0:37:37] } 23. Re3 { [%clk 0:47:44] } 23... Bxc4 { [%clk 0:35:27] } 24. Nxc4 { [%clk 0:42:45] } 24... Qxd4 { [%clk 0:33:31] } 25. Bb2 { [%clk 0:38:33] } 25... b5 { [%clk 0:33:25] } 26. Rxc3 { [%clk 0:20:58] } 26... bxc4 { [%clk 0:32:51] } 27. Rc2 { [%clk 0:20:52] } 27... c3 { [%clk 0:32:39] } 28. Rxc3 { [%clk 0:20:29] } 28... Bd6 { [%clk 0:26:30] } 29. Qf3 { [%clk 0:19:28] } 29... Be5 { [%clk 0:22:45] } 30. Rc2 { [%clk 0:15:26] } 30... Qf4 { [%clk 0:22:35] } 31. Qxf4 { [%clk 0:14:14] } 31... Bxf4 { [%clk 0:22:29] } 32. Rc4 { [%clk 0:12:06] } 32... Bd6 

@BoltonBailey Longest move of the round seems to be move 10 from Vidit: 1:23:49 - 0:57:08

@BoltonBailey Thank you for your hard work.

@creator gonna finish resolving?

Pretty sure the last outstanding market should resolve no

Nepo is still ranked #1
bought Ṁ374 Nepo is still ranked #1 YES

A game lasts for more than 60 moves

Nepo vs Abasov, resolves as yes

bought Ṁ100 3 or more draws NO

Pragg and alireza draw

A rating underdog wins a game
bought Ṁ560 A rating underdog wi... YES

Resolves as yes (Hikaru won and is a rating underdog)

According to live ratings: https://2700chess.com/

And according to the ratings listed on Lichess.org

Hikaru wins

Resolves as yes, along with American player wins

4 draws

Resolves as no, Gukesh won

Gukesh wins

Resolves as yes, along with Indian player wins.

Gukesh's game: (he is black)

Vidit has less than 5 minutes before move 35

Resolves as no, on move 35 he had 8:58 (there is no increment until after move 40)

bought Ṁ15 Vidit has less than ... YES

Will Vidit have less than 5 minutes before move 35? He only has 10:30 left on move 30

Vidit is one hour down on clock compared to Gukesh at any point before move 20

Resolved as no.

Move 19:

Few seconds after move 20 hits:

@kevin5050 The rest of the moves never had Vidit down 1 hour compared to Gukesh. You can check for yourself here if you'd like: https://lichess.org/broadcast/fide-candidates-2024--open/round-8/nUycmG6L/5OGHN5fl

reposted

New question: Will Vidit have less than 5 minutes before move 35?

bought Ṁ5 4 draws YES

4 draws is very unlikely but I had to take the odds

reposted

Just added a new question about Vidit being down on clock. Check it out!

reposted

15 minutes before the matches start!

reposted

Hey! I've updated it so that you can create your own questions! Feel free to add some!

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