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In exactly two years (Mar 2026), will two shares of Alphabet/Google GOOG be worth more than one share of Microsoft MSFT?

98% chance

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

12% chance

Will Alphabet spin off Waymo by the end of 2026?

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I took a beating on this one. Resolving NO.

I guess some big hitters know something? Seems like there's strong knowledge of NO

This offer does not need to be accepted for this question to resolve YES. An offer being made and reported publicly by well accepted sources will result in resolving to YES.

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In exactly two years (Mar 2026), will two shares of Alphabet/Google GOOG be worth more than one share of Microsoft MSFT?

98% chance

Will Google acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026 ?

12% chance

Will Alphabet spin off Waymo by the end of 2026?

21% chance

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