Will a 3rd party mediator successfully broker a ceasefire between Israel and other parties before the end of 2023?
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Ṁ310Ṁ5.3kresolved Nov 25
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@ken Okay so there is now a deal, mediated by Qatar. Does it need to actually go into effect for some minimum period of time, or is this enough for Yes? https://www.cnn.com/middleeast/live-news/israel-hamas-war-gaza-news-11-21-23
predictedNO
@ken If a ceasefire occurs without any clear "third party" having brokered it, will this resolve No? And related question, does the ceasefire have to actually be adhered to for X amount of time or does it just need to be announced in order to be considered “successfully brokered”?