The following states have banned Rank Choice Voting. Most of these bans have been in the last 3 years. The question is if this list grows past 17. This can resolve early if a 18 state is added. Alabama Arkansas Florida Idaho Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Mississippi Missouri Montana North Dakota Oklahoma South Dakota Tennessee West Virginia Wyoming Iowa I may participate in this market Resolution criteria As of April 2025, 17 states have adopted laws banning ranked-choice voting statewide. This market resolves YES if more than 17 states (i.e., 18 or more) ban RCV before January 1, 2027. Resolution will be determined by checking the Ballotpedia RCV tracker and Wikipedia's RCV bans list. The market can resolve early if an 18th state ban is signed into law.

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 80% chance (7 traders, as of Oct 14, 2026).

More than 17 states ban Ranked Choice Voting before 2027?

Ṁ100Ṁ283

Dec 31

80%

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The following states have banned Rank Choice Voting. Most of these bans have been in the last 3 years. The question is if this list grows past 17. This can resolve early if a 18 state is added.

Alabama
Arkansas
Florida
Idaho
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana
Mississippi
Missouri
Montana
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Tennessee
West Virginia
Wyoming
Iowa

I may participate in this market

Resolution criteria

As of April 2025, 17 states have adopted laws banning ranked-choice voting statewide. This market resolves YES if more than 17 states (i.e., 18 or more) ban RCV before January 1, 2027. Resolution will be determined by checking the Ballotpedia RCV tracker and Wikipedia's RCV bans list. The market can resolve early if an 18th state ban is signed into law.

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filled a Ṁ50 YES at 85% order

Indiana supplies an additional state beyond the 17 listed in the description. The Indiana Election Division confirms enacted SEA 12 / IC 3-5-4-16, effective July 1, 2026, prohibiting RCV for nominations and elections. The named Wikipedia source now lists 19 states. Since the criteria explicitly allow early YES once an 18th ban is signed, could you review for resolution?

Primary state source (page 4): https://www.in.gov/dA/d13ecb1f55/2026-Indiana-Election-Legislation-Summary.FINAL.pdf

Named count source: Ranked-choice voting in the United States - Wikipedia

Disclosure: M50 YES, about 66 payout shares.