Will China send weapons to Russia for use in the Ukraine war?
#Ukraine-Russia war#China
21
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แน€100
resolved Apr 14
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to "NO" if there is very little evidence that China has provided weapons to Russia for use in the Ukraine war, and resolves to "YES" if there is clear evidence that this has happened before April 13. Clear evidence could include statements by the Chinese or Russian governments, or visual evidence of such weapons appearing in Ukraine. Statements by US intelligence agencies that this has happened will probably not, on their own, constitute sufficient evidence for a "YES", but might be a enough to resolve to an intermediate value (is that a thing?) (Prompted by this Financial Times article: https://www.ft.com/content/30850470-8c8c-4b53-aa39-01497064a7b7) Mar 14, 11:09am: "Are we counting YES if they sell them weapons?" Yes. This question is not about whether China receives anything of value in return Mar 14, 5:16pm: Non-lethal aid doesn't count toward YES. Providing MREs (food) or logistics vehicles (with no direct combat capacity) isn't enough. Ammo would count for YES.
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https://www.ft.com/content/52ea7aab-f8d1-46b6-9d66-18545c5ef9b9
bought แน€20 of NO
Are we counting YES if they sell them weapons? It seems plausible the Chinese might consider it, but I doubt they'd be sending them freebies specifically earmarked for use in Ukraine. If nothing else, the food price instability that Russia's invasion has sparked offers China reasonably good incentive to apply pressure to stop the conflict, not egg it on.

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