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MANIFOLD
Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu die in a plane crash?
9
Ṁ170Ṁ503
9999
4%
chance

Resolves YES if there are credible reports he has died in a plane crash (regardless of whether he is defense minister at the time). Resolves NO if there are credible reports he has died for some other reason. If he lives forever this market does not resolve.

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China
Who does Xi think he is?
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Alice Ryhl boughtṀ10YES

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