Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu die in a plane crash? | Manifold

Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu die in a plane crash?

9

170Ṁ503

9999

4%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if there are credible reports he has died in a plane crash (regardless of whether he is defense minister at the time). Resolves NO if there are credible reports he has died for some other reason. If he lives forever this market does not resolve.

See also:

Who does Xi think he is?

Chinese Politics

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