Will the average American man weigh >200lbs in 2030?
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Currently the average adult male in the United States weighs 199.8lbs according to the CDC.

This market resolves to Yes if according to the best available data at the start of 2030, the average American adult male weighs >200lbs.

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Remember that the population will continue to age, which seems like it will clearly push weight up by at least a tiny bit

@MatthewRitter I'm pretty sure the relevant data source is only considering adults.

@jonsimon older adults weigh more generally

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