Will my EA Funds/Nonlinear grant application get funded?
9
116
190
resolved Sep 4
Resolved
NO

Yesterday I submitted an application to the LTFF/EAIF and Nonlinear. I only decided I was going to do this during EAG at the weekend, and the deadline for Nonlinear was today, so I rushed my application somewhat.

I applied for 6 month's salary for exploring career options relating to ensuring positive outcomes from TAI. I specifically highlighted three: ML upskilling to become a research engineer, AI/compute governance research fit, and MVP of a cool new software project that I am gonna keep to myself for now.

My sense is that thinking about this for longer, and likely picking one of these three options, would have meaningfully increased my chances of success. With that caveat, I think there were some strong parts of my application though; for each of the three mini-projects, I had a clear set of outputs, a definition of success, and a plausible theory of change. I suspect the weakest part of my application (other than its broad/shallow scope) is my track record, due to lack of undergrad degree and most of my relevant work experience being quite structured.

Will resolve to 'YES' if I receive an offer of funding related to this application from the LTFF, EAIF, any Nonlinear funder, or any other funder that EA Funds may have forwarded my application on to. If I apply for other sources of funding (eg from Open Phil), and get an offer of funding through those but do not get an offer through the previously listed sources, resolves to 'NO'. Resolves to 'NA' if I decide to retract my application before a funding decision is reached.

For resolution, an offer of any amount of funding is sufficient to resolve to 'YES', even if it's less than the amount I asked for.

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EAF funds 60% of projects on average so idk why your application would be substantially less likely than that.

predicted NO

@DrewSpartz I suspect that the lack of singular focus on my application makes it much less likely to be accepted than the average, although I didn’t realize the success rate was that high