Will a non-Chromium based web browser have > 25% market share by the end of 2023?
11
78
แน€230
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Most web browsers are built around the Chromium framework, which is primarily developed by Google. This gives Google an outsized influence on an even greater proportion of the web browser market than merely Google Chrome. Some would argue that this gives too much control over web standards to a single corporation, which in turn could be deleterious for the health of the internet overall - akin to the hegemony and eventual downfall of Netscape.

Notable Chromium-based browsers include:

  • Brave

  • Chrome

  • Edge

  • Opera

  • Samsung Internet

  • Vivaldi

Notable non-Chromium-based browsers include:

  • Firefox

  • Safari

  • UC Browser

Will resolve based on data from Statcounter. If Statcounter data is no longer available at the time of resolutions, I will resolve based on data from a similar source at my discretion.

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๐Ÿ“ขResolves NO

predicted NO

Just to confirm. If at any time it's over 25% that doesn't matter. Only if the end of December 2023, right?

predicted NO

@blake any time during 2023 is fine. I will primarily be checking Statcounter, but if someone links me to a credible source that I can verify then I'm happy to use that too.

bought แน€5 of NO

This is overvalued. The one for 2025 is lower

predicted NO

@blake Sounds like an easy opportunity for you to make some mana by betting more than M5 then :)

predicted NO

@jonny I'm broke

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