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MANIFOLD
Which individual will win ARML 2026?
68
Ṁ975Ṁ24k
resolved May 30
100%99.2%
Channing Yang (Texas)
0.0%
Justin Kim (SFBA/NorCal)
0.0%
Jiahe Liu (Ohio)
0.0%
Nathan Liu (Texas)
0.0%
Andy Lu (SFBA/NorCal)
0.0%
Liam Reddy (Utah)
0.0%
James Stewart (Texas)
0.0%
Alexander Wang (Lehigh Valley)
0.0%
Dylan Wang (SFBA/NorCal)
0.0%
Oron Wang (Phillips Exeter Academy Lions)
0.0%
Ruilin Wang (TJHSST)
0.0%
Vincent Wang (Texas)
0.0%
Leo Wu (Ontario Math Circles)
0.0%
Royce Yao (Wild Wild West)
0.0%
Michael Zhao (Texas)
0.0%
Jeff Zhou (Minnesota)
0.0%
Ben Jump (Ohio)
0.0%
Tiger Li (Ontario Math Circles)
0.0%
Krithik Manoharan (Texas)
0.0%
Shunyao Yan (TJHSST)

51st American Regions Mathematics League Competition (May 29-30, 2026)

Resolves proportionally between tied individuals if there is a tie for first

If the official results posted on the ARML website differ from the results announced at the awards ceremony, this market will be re-resolved based on the official results if the resolution needs to be changed

https://arml3.com/

Answers should be formatted as [First Name] [Last Name] ([Region])

Duplicate answers added after the original will resolve NO

Invalid answers, including ones that do not have a first name, last name, and region, will resolve NO

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bought Ṁ2 YES

sooh why am i on this markit im not going to arml

@OronWang sooh i didn't add you lol

bought Ṁ3 YES

@pine I BELIEVE

@pine what!!!

if sm1 orz bets on themselves isnt that insider trading

@JonathanGao Manifold allows insider trading

Quote from Manifold Community Guidelines: "Unlike many other places, Manifold encourages you to make markets more accurate by trading based on private information you might have. (This is sometimes referred to as “insider trading”). As long as you didn’t have some other duty to keep the information private"

@121 Please format answers as [First Name] [Last Name] ([Region]) if you want them to be valid

bought Ṁ20 NO

where is liam reddy

@BenjaminLu he's already one of the options on this market

bought Ṁ19 NO

oops i forgot to add team names for Eric Xie (Montgomery) and Christopher Qiu (Central Jersey)

sold Ṁ1 YES

@1071 no worries I'll fix that

@1071 soo

Thanks for the free mana!

opened a Ṁ990 NO at 1.0% order

@DottedCalculator jat stole all the free mana