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Trump is asking his supporters to protest his imminent arrest next week. Will there be riots in New York in March?
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"A handful of reporters and tourists milled around the Fifth Ave. entrance to Trump’s NYC headquarters, waiting to see if anything would happen."
Total nothingburger as expected...
@AlQuinn It seems like everyone is a bit rioted out. There were no riots as far as I know after Tyre Nichols was killed this year, either.
@jonsimon the base rate for this is still really low just taking this wikipedia list:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_incidents_of_civil_unrest_in_New_York_City
Something like 1 riot per 8 years, though the George Floyd nonsense was actually a "mostly peaceful protest" as we all now know. The odds of a riot in a 10 day period is ~1/3,000.
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