Trump is asking his supporters to protest his imminent arrest next week. Will there be riots in New York in March?
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predictedNO

wake up, john, and give me my mana

predictedNO

@AlQuinn It is still March my dude

predictedNO

@ForrestTaylor Not in New York

"A handful of reporters and tourists milled around the Fifth Ave. entrance to Trump’s NYC headquarters, waiting to see if anything would happen."

Total nothingburger as expected...

https://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/ny-new-yorkers-react-trump-indictment-champagne-20230331-6bpx25jajfdtzapu4ncval43ie-story.html

Very Low Energy. Sad!

predictedNO

Pressing F to pay respects to all the TDS YES people. Sorry the basket of deplorables didn't contain even 1% of the riot impetus as BLM and Antifa.

predictedNO

@AlQuinn It seems like everyone is a bit rioted out. There were no riots as far as I know after Tyre Nichols was killed this year, either.

Do the roots have to be related to Trump? Because Nee Yorker's love a good riot in general, they might have one coincidentally.

predictedNO
predictedNO

@jonsimon the base rate for this is still really low just taking this wikipedia list:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_incidents_of_civil_unrest_in_New_York_City

Something like 1 riot per 8 years, though the George Floyd nonsense was actually a "mostly peaceful protest" as we all now know. The odds of a riot in a 10 day period is ~1/3,000.

He stokes their rage, their fear, their plight,
Urging them to march and fight.
But justice will prevail, take heart,
No riots will tear New York apart.

predictedYES
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