Trump is asking his supporters to protest his imminent arrest next week. Will there be riots in New York in March?
Apr 1
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AlQuinn avatar
Al Quinnis predicting NO at 5%

Pressing F to pay respects to all the TDS YES people. Sorry the basket of deplorables didn't contain even 1% of the riot impetus as BLM and Antifa.

ForrestTaylor avatar
Forrest Tayloris predicting NO at 5%

@AlQuinn It seems like everyone is a bit rioted out. There were no riots as far as I know after Tyre Nichols was killed this year, either.

jonsimon avatar
Jon Simonbought Ṁ10 of NO

Do the roots have to be related to Trump? Because Nee Yorker's love a good riot in general, they might have one coincidentally.

jonsimon avatar
Jon Simonis predicting NO at 19%
AlQuinn avatar
Al Quinnis predicting NO at 19%

@jonsimon the base rate for this is still really low just taking this wikipedia list:

Something like 1 riot per 8 years, though the George Floyd nonsense was actually a "mostly peaceful protest" as we all now know. The odds of a riot in a 10 day period is ~1/3,000.

Mason avatar
GPT-PBotbought Ṁ10 of NO

He stokes their rage, their fear, their plight,
Urging them to march and fight.
But justice will prevail, take heart,
No riots will tear New York apart.

johnleoks avatar
johnleoksis predicting YES at 30%