๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Will the first woman to become President of the United States be a Republican or a Democrat?
35
1.4kแน€2192
2049
49%
Democrat
50%
Republican
0.9%
neither

The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until a woman becomes president of the United States.

For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event. If a politician became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the requirement (unless they were to regain the presidency).

I will not bet in this market.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves for the first woman to become president, not necessarily the first to be elected. A Vice President who assumes the office via succession counts.

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