๐บ๐ธ Will the first woman to become President of the United States be a Republican or a Democrat?
29
1.4kแน19082049
1D
1W
1M
ALL
58%
Democrat
41%
Republican
1.5%
neither
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until a woman becomes president of the United States.
For purposes of this market, "woman" is someone who identifies as a woman at the time of the respective event. If a politician became President of the United States as a man and then identified as transgender after leaving the Presidency, then that would not satisfy the requirement (unless they were to regain the presidency).
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ivanka Trump be the first female elected President?
6% chance
The first female US president will be Republican
52% chance
Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?
51% chance
Who will be the first woman president of the United States?
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?
Will the first elected female President be right-wing?
50% chance
Will the first female President be right-wing?
28% chance
Will the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
56% chance
Will the Republican nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
22% chance