If the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
Resolves identically to this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcanal/panama-canal-retaken
Update 2025-20-01 (PST): - Control means the United States assumes new primary operational authority over some part of the canal. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000By “United States”, u will exclude Private firm headquartered in US?
Eg “Google to run Pacific port of Panama Canal” will NOT count?
Not sure I understand the criteria (which I understand come from the Kalshi market). If the US government ends up having 10% voting power in an organization that manages the canal, does it count as having control of a part of the canal?
@skibidist wouldn't count in my reading
control means the United States assumes new primary operational
authority over some part of the canal
(from https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/CANAL.pdf)
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What is this?
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Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?