When given the choice, will humans voluntarily give up a large fraction of our cosmic endowment to AI beings?
4
100Ṁ44
2027
32%
chance

Resolves YES if humanity is given the choice of whether to take our cosmic endowment for ourselves or to give some large portion of it to beings argued to be more worthy or deserving of it, and choose to give it to those more worthy / deserving.

  • Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that if no AGI exists by the market close date, this will not automatically cause the market to resolve to NO.

  • Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to NO if:

    • Humanity is given the choice concerning the cosmic endowment, as detailed in the market description (i.e., whether to take our cosmic endowment for ourselves or to give some large portion of it to beings argued to be more worthy or deserving).

    • Humanity then chooses not to give that large portion to those other beings.

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